Oscars 2025 winners predictions

Oscars 2025 winners predictions - FINAL

In a year where I feel there's no clear frontrunner and that every frontrunner feels like a fragile one, it seems the Best Picture winner will be a "vanilla win". Everything seems to point (unclearly) to Anora's win at the Dolby Theatre at Ovation Hollywood (a Palme d'Or plus a strong combo of PGA/DGA/WGA wins suggest it is the strongest contender of the bunch), which is threatened by Conclave's late ascension with the BAFTA win for Best Film and the SAG Award for Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble Cast in a Motion Picture.

Interesting fact is how Best International Film will play since the "Karla Gate" (the Karla Sofia Gáscon's revealed past tweets with controversial views on sensitive subjects) hurt Emilia Pérez's Oscar chances. Will it win Best International Film? Will it prevent Zoe Saldaña from winning Best Supporting Actress despite her clean sweep of precursors? Or will it generate an anti-cancellation movement and generate an Emilia Pérez overperformance? It will be interesting to see.

So, here are my predictions:

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