Early Academy Awards 2020 Nominees Predictions

Early Academy Awards 2020 Nominees Predictions - Best Supporting Actor

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Everybody's excited about Al Pacino being back to high profile productions and while we have no guarantee about The Irishman's excellence besides Martin Scorsese's signature or all the talent involved in the production, I believe Netflix will sell it as its greatest production of the year à la Roma, so Pacino's name is likely to be promoted so it can generate Oscar buzz for him. Banderas has become a major name in Hollywood in spite of his humble origins as an actor often associated as an "Almodóvar actor" and 2019 might be the year he finally gets an Oscar nomination - he's said to play a member of a team who works on the Panama Papers in the upcoming Steven Soderbergh's drama, which can be a juicy role or an unthankless one, but I have a nice feeling about The Laundromat (and Banderas also benefits from the nice reviews he has been getting for Almodóvar's Dolor y gloria). As for the fresh Aldis Hodge, this young black talent can have a nice shot at the Best Supporting Actor since he has collected rave reviews for his performance as a man convicted sanctioned to die at the death row and the studio is setting an awards campaign for Clemency's leading lady Alfre Woodard (and supporting players often get an awards campaign in these terms, also). John Lithgow will be playing Roger Ailes, the former Chairman and CEO of Fox News and Fox Television Stations, from which he resigned in July 2016 after allegations of sexual harassment, in the upcoming Fair and Balanced... and while some might claim its late December release date won't help the movie in what comes to awards play, I bet Fair and Balanced will be received as a necessary movie in the post-MeToo era and since Lithgow is a talented and well-respected actor in Hollywood, the AMPAS will be paying attention to this one! Quentin Tarantino directs great performances on-screen and he will have Damon Herriman playing the infamous Charles Manson in Once Upon a Time in Hollywood... well, Herriman is still waiting for his big break - will it be in Tarantino's upcoming movie? Internal competition will be tricky to beat (Brad Pitt, Bruce Dern, Al Pacino, Damian Lewis or Emile Hirsch and we know nothing about screen time).

1. Al Pacino, The Irishman

2. Antonio Banderas, The Laundromat

3. Aldis Hodge, Clemency

4. John Lithgow, Fair and Balanced

5. Damon Herriman, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Other serious contenders: Taika Waititi playing a child's imaginary version of Adolf Hitler himself? Sold, but Waititi doesn't play serious and the AMPAS might want a dramatic and sober Holocaust movie rather than a satyre; Jonathan Majords received "best in show" reviews back in Sundance for The Last Black Man in San Francisco and some claim the movie will become an indie favorite contending for a Best Picture race; Willem Dafoe will be playing the dying father of Anne Hathaway in Dee Ree's upcoming movie and the role is said to be juicy (but it would be his third Oscar nom in a row and I don't believe AMPAS will award acting in a Netflix movie just yet); Tim Robbins is back this year in a supporting part for Todd Haynes upcoming project and early reports suggest he might shine since he seems to be playing a dying man, victim of a chemical company... Oscar voters love dying characters; and Matthew Rhys will be the co-lead in A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, but all eyes are on Tom Hanks as Mister Rogers - will he be overshadowed? It can happen, but he can also catch some of the buzz around Hanks and start the awards race too.

6. Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit

7. Jonathan Majors, The Last Black Man in San Francisco

8. Willem Dafoe, The Last Thing He Wanted

9. Tim Robbins, Untitled Todd Haynes Project

10. Matthew Rhys, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

NOTE ABOUT: Shia LaBeouf, Honey Boy - A personal project for LaBeouf that channels the story of his childwood and teen years, the actors portrays his own father and he has met "best performance of his career" kind of reviews back in Sundance. LaBeouf has been trying to build a serious reputation in Hollywood after a couple of mistakes early in his career and after working with Lars von Trier and delivering a great performance in American Honey, maybe the AMPAS will pay attention to him in Honey Boy, but I still not sure about it.

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