- BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
The Academy loves movies about Holocaust and director Taika Waititi is bringing us Jojo Rabbit this year, with Scarlett Johansson playing a young boy's mother hiding a young Jewish girl in her home in what seems to be a meaty role and an extremely likeable character - and since Johansson is one of the best actresses of her generation and she's overdue for her 1st Academy Award nomination after atrocious Oscar snubs for performances in Lost In Translation, Match Point or Her (for example), I believe Hollywood has realised its about time to make Johansson an Academy Award nominee and Avengers: Endgame popularity won't hurt (but the movie's comedic tone about a serious subject might be a problem for some). Supporting parts in musicals tend to be scene-stealing parts and Jennifer Hudson has already won an Oscar for a memorable scene-stealing supporting part in 2006's Dreamgirls... and she's back this year as Grizabella, the Glamour Cat, the lonely cat who seeks acceptance and she performs the highlight song of the entire musical Cats: "Memory"! Hudson can get a second Oscar nod for this one, believe me! The AMPAS loves an actor portraying another real-life actor and given the buzz and high expectations around Quentin Tarantino's upcoming Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, I predict Margot Robbie to get an Oscar nomination in her sleep for portraying the beautiful Sharon Tate, who got murdered by members of the Manson family. It has been a while since the last time Susan Sarandon got some Oscar love (it was back in her 1995's Dead Man Walking days!), but her Emmy recognition is a signal she hasn't lost her acting chops and she has a great role in Blackbird as a dying matriarch who assembles her family for a couple of days before she dies . My 5th predicted spot goes to Annette Bening who received warm reviews for her performance in The Report, a movie about an investigation to the CIA interrogation techniques that got rave reviews at this year's edition of Sundance Film Festival - and Bening plays real-life Dianne Feinstein! Considering we're all expecting Bening to finally win her Oscar (or getting one more nomination, at least), I believe people will pay attention to The Report.
1. Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
2. Jennifer Hudson, Cats
3. Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
4. Susan Sarandon, Blackbird
5. Annette Bening, The Report
Other serious contenders: Penélope Cruz has received rave reviews for a luminous performance as the title character's mother Dolor y gloria, the most well-received (and singular it seems) Pedro Almodovar movie in years, but it is a SUPPORTING performance and the AMPAS doesn't get seduced by supporting performances in foreign movies (Marina de Tavira was the exception); Kidman has been asking for a 5th Oscar nomination and Oscar voters denied her last year in spite of brilliant performances in Destroyer and Boy Erased, but this year she's back as the socialite mother who takes the orphaned lead in a safe role with The Blind Side vibes and we all know AMPAS loves Kidman when she "plays safe and moving"; Florence Pugh is a star on the rise and she has got the second best role in Little Women as the selfish Amy March, which is no problem because she was the "evil with legs" in Lady Macbeth and she was brilliant in it; One of the most interesting actresses of her generation, Mia Wasikowska might have found an acting showcase and award vehicle in the English-language adaptation of Silent Heart, named Blackbird, as one of the grieving daughters of a woman who assembles her family before she dies - Wasikowska sure has the talent and the role is juicy; and, finally, Anne Hathaway can be back to award race thanks to the upcoming Todd Haynes project about a lawyer who takes on an environmental lawsuit - her role is still unclear, but Hathaway excels in dramatic parts and she'll be starring alongside Mark Ruffalo and Tim Robbins (a kind of movie that might just work as a true awards magnet).
6. Penélope Cruz, Dolor y gloria
7. Nicole Kidman, The Goldfinch
8. Florence Pugh, Little Women
9. Mia Wasikowska, Blackbird
10. Anne Hathaway, Untitled Todd Haynes Project
NOTE ABOUT: Lily Collins, Tolkien and Extremely Wicked, Shockingly Evil and Vile - An actress I've never considered specially talented or a major screen presence has become an interesting actress after seeing her in Rules Don't Apply (2016) and To the Bone (2017). She received enthusiastic reviews for her performance in Sundance's hit Extremely Wicked, Shockingly Evil and Vile and she promises to be a charming presence in the upcoming Tolkien, playing Edith Tolkien, the wife and muse of novelist J.R.R. Tolkien (have a look at the trailer!). She's slowy becoming a very interesting actress and I think she might have nice chances for Tolkien.
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