SAG Awards feel more relevant this year after Golden Globes being not cool anymore due to HFPA policies and some other drama (that's not this site's purpose to discuss). So, it kinda feels mandatory to predict the SAG awards this year, which is quite funny actually (first time I'm predicting these ones).
We must have in mind SAG is a wide guild, with a lot of members, but it seems not every member is able to vote - it's a strange policy, I know - since voting panels are randomly selected. So, how to predict? I believe SAG's rise to top Oscar precursor award makes voters under some pressure to select the year's finest and make a statement at the same time: so that's why I am expecting the Oscar frontrunners The Power of the Dog and Belfast to make a strong show here and West Side Story too. Spielberg's latest has a huge advantage: it does feature a POC cast that delivers an incredible ensemble performance and SAG might want to elevate the POC stars of one of the best movies of the year: that's why I'm predicting it for Ensemble, Supporting Actress (2x), Supporting Actor and Stunts! It might look like a lot, but I think it will happen! Then, there are room for some populist votes (since SAG members aren't as "elitist" as AMPAS members), so that's why I am expecting Dune to pop-up in Ensemble and Stunts and the crowd-pleasing King Richard to do well here. A note about CODA, which I was THIS CLOSE to predict for ensemble, since it has received some major (and unexpected) awards love this season and it gained the title of one of the most solid contenders in the run for a Best Picture nomination. Or will The French Dispatch or Nightmare Alley surprise here? Remember when Jojo Rabbit surprised with an Ensemble nomination here? Both are Searchlight pictures just like Jojo!
So here are my predictions:
We must have in mind SAG is a wide guild, with a lot of members, but it seems not every member is able to vote - it's a strange policy, I know - since voting panels are randomly selected. So, how to predict? I believe SAG's rise to top Oscar precursor award makes voters under some pressure to select the year's finest and make a statement at the same time: so that's why I am expecting the Oscar frontrunners The Power of the Dog and Belfast to make a strong show here and West Side Story too. Spielberg's latest has a huge advantage: it does feature a POC cast that delivers an incredible ensemble performance and SAG might want to elevate the POC stars of one of the best movies of the year: that's why I'm predicting it for Ensemble, Supporting Actress (2x), Supporting Actor and Stunts! It might look like a lot, but I think it will happen! Then, there are room for some populist votes (since SAG members aren't as "elitist" as AMPAS members), so that's why I am expecting Dune to pop-up in Ensemble and Stunts and the crowd-pleasing King Richard to do well here. A note about CODA, which I was THIS CLOSE to predict for ensemble, since it has received some major (and unexpected) awards love this season and it gained the title of one of the most solid contenders in the run for a Best Picture nomination. Or will The French Dispatch or Nightmare Alley surprise here? Remember when Jojo Rabbit surprised with an Ensemble nomination here? Both are Searchlight pictures just like Jojo!
So here are my predictions:
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