Ed has been doing some research in order to make his 3rd round of Academy Awards predictions (they are comming soon - 1st August) and I've been helping him, so, I'm sorry for the almost inexistent blog's activity in the last couple of days.
The new AMPAS rules for Best Picture nomination are a new factor that must be taken seriously, so, here's a part of an article that may help you understanding the new rules:
"The academy uses a preferential nominations process whereby its nearly 6,000 voting members rank their preferred candidates for best picture from 1 to 10. Academy officials said that after much analysis, it was determined that a film must receive at least 5% of the first-place votes to receive a nomination.
In a rare glimpse into academy voting patterns, officials said that over the last 10 years, the average percentage of first-place votes received by the top nominee was 20.5%. The officials said that if the new system had been in place between 2001 and 2008, the best-picture slate would have had between five and nine nominees in those years.
Some believe the academy is scrambling to restore confidence in the organization after the change to 10 best-picture nominees was met with ridicule by a number of members and media critics. According to one person who asked for anonymity because he was not authorized to talk on the record, the academy two years ago considered the system adopted Tuesday as an alternative to expanding the race to 10 films.
But others said they were impressed by the academy's nimbleness. "I think we should all be encouraged that the academy is constantly examining the process," Press said. "With this and the hiring of Dawn, they are showing a desire to evolve, and that's a good thing."
Award campaign strategists are now wondering how the new rule will change the way the race is run. Given the number of members who typically cast nominating ballots, a film would have to secure roughly 240 first-place votes on the nominations ballot to clear the 5% threshold and enter the best-picture race."
By Nicole Sperling and Amy Kaufman, Los Angeles Times
June 16, 2011
You can check the whole article here: http://theenvelope.latimes.com/la-et-academy-changes-20110616,0,7780109.story
Cinema and Popcorn's 3rd round of Academy Awards nominees prediction:
http://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/2011/08/academy-awards-2012-best-picture.html
Cinema and Popcorn's 3rd round of Academy Awards nominees prediction:
http://cinemaandpopcorn.blogspot.com/2011/08/academy-awards-2012-best-picture.html
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