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Academy Awards 2011 Best Leading Actress nominees predictions (3rd round)

Annette Bening for The Kids Are All Right - The Kids Are All Right became THE indie Summer movie and between the lots of raves that the movie earned, Annette Bening was one of the targets of the critics' praise. Seeing Annette Bening laying a member of a lesbian couple and a mum in a comedy may be something that we aren't used to see and this is the point of a possible Oscar nod and maybe win: she's doing something light, different from, for example, her character in American Beauty. And we can't forgive the Academy for never gave her a golden statue (she lost to Hillary Swank twice!), but this year, a nod is sure and a win is possible, definetly! But there are some placement problems between her and Moore due to the leading actress title and this may be a real problem... but it seems that "Bening isn't supportive, Bening is always the star!", so no problem for her. If she won't get a Best Actress nomination for The Kids Are All Right, something's wrong with the Academy: she's overdue for a win, at least!

Nicole Kidman for Rabbit Hole - Kidman is back in a highly praised movie with a lot of "emotional depht". Nicole's character is a mother who lives the saddest moments of her life due to her child's loss. In fact, Kidman's performances was described as something wonderful and as her career's best one, but this year the competition for the Oscar of Best Actress is strong and another win isn't possible at all for her (who won the prize some years ago for portraying Virginia Wolf in The Hours). Rabbit Hole may represent Nicole Kidman's return to critical sucess and the raves that her performance is currently getting may be seen as a Kidman's apologize for something that she never did but that made the media hate her. The Moulin Rouge! star can get her third Oscar nomination this year, and it would be just wonderful to put her career back on track!

Jennifer Lawrence for Winter's Bone - so young (19), so pretty, so talented! Jennifer Lawrence is the golden girl of the year for her highly praised breakthough performance in the indie drama Winter's Bone, directed by Debra Granik. In fact, in RT critics' consensus, you can read that "it (Winter's Bone) boasts an incredible, starmaking performance from Jennifer Lawrence" and the Academy loves young and beautiful actresses who had their big break on screen and that played strong women. She already worked with Kim Basinger and Charlize Theron in The Burning Plane and received a Venice Film Festival Award in order to honour how promising she is. Well, after so many raves and the awesome reception of the movie itself, Jennifer Lawrence may be able to be one of the five actresses to win this year's Oscar race for Best Leading Actress.

Julianne Moore for The Kids Are All Right - Moore is a four-time Academy Award nominee (Boogie Nights (1997); The End of the Affair (1999); The Hours (2002); Far From Heaven (2002);) and was the biggest snub in last year's race for the Best Supporting Actress Oscar for her performance in A Single Man. Now, she does a light comedy and is maybe the most central character of the movie, but does more time mean better time? Well, Julianne Moore got raves like all the members of the cast and she may have a little more of protagonist than her co-star (Bening), but it seems that she's with some category placement problems: while some think that her and Bening are both leads, others think that Bening is the movie's leading lady and Moore a supporting actress. In my opinion, they're both leads in The Kids Are All Right! So, in spite of some difficulties, Moore is able to get another Oscar nomination, but it may be hard to her to get a win in spite of being a BIG little bit overdue to take the golden statue home - it's all Bening's fault!

Natalie Portman for Black Swan - the reviews from Venice said that Natalie Portman shinned a lot in Black Swan. The critics talked about the complexity of the character and said that Portman was completly fantastic in her role. In fact, Portman began her cinema career when she was a child in Léon - The Professional, grew up and toke the role of Padmé in Star Wars prequels trilogy and get nominated for an Oscar for her supporting role in Mike Nichols' Closer. Nowm, her Oscar buzz is huge and I would be surprise if she won't get an Oscar nomination for Best Leading Actress. In fact, Portman's performance is described as "captivating" and all the movie's attentions are focused in her (it's a study about her character) and she have been named the biggest Bening's enemy to win this race's top prize!

in consideration: Sally Hawkins (Made In Dagenham); Noomi Rapace (The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo); Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine);

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